Yesterday, the United Nations came out with a positive forecast for the global economy for 2010. The primary drive will be from Asia. The U.S. is also expected to see modest economic growth.
Nevertheless, the U.N. cautioned the growth will be 'fragile' and could fail if stimulus spending stops and if the U.S. deficit and external debt continues to climb. Such a crisis could cause global instability.
No word yet on how continued stimulus spending will not lead to a (at least temporary) increase in both the U.S. deficit and external debt.
There is a lot of talk about a looming 'double dip recession' (also mentioned in the U.N. report). There is also a lot of talk about the likehood of 'modest growth' and a 'fragile economy'. I think it's more a case of both cautious optimism and having it both ways. If the economy grows, it was predicted. If it fails, it was mentioned as a realistic possibility.
On that note, I'm not going to be any different. I think 2010 will be better although how much of this is based upon wishful thinking I can't say. Suffice it to say that everyone appears to be in general agreement that we still have a long way to go.
What this means for businesses is simple: stay focused. Don't lose sight of sound cost management practices. Put them in place now (if you haven't already done so).
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